Home » PR News » New IHME COVID-19 Model Forecasts Latin American, Caribbean Nations Will See Nearly 388,300 Deaths by October 1

New IHME COVID-19 Model Forecasts Latin American, Caribbean Nations Will See Nearly 388,300 Deaths by October 1

SEATTLE, June 24, 2020 /PRNewswire-HISPANIC PR WIRE/ – The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington is forecasting nearly 388,300 people will die from COVID-19 in Latin American and Caribbean nations by October 1.

Brazil is expected to exceed 166,000 deaths and Mexico 88,000. Six other nations are each predicted to exceed 10,000: Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guatemala, and Peru. In contrast, 15 nations, including Paraguay, Uruguay, and Belize are each expected to have fewer than 1,000 deaths.

“Several Latin American countries are facing explosive trajectories, while others are containing infections effectively,” said IHME Director Dr. Christopher Murray. “I cannot overemphasize the imperative of mitigation measures, such as mask wearing and social distancing, especially since South American nations are facing increasing infections due to seasonality of COVID-19, an important factor contributing to the transmission of the virus.”

IHME’s new forecasts model deaths from the virus if countries impose social distancing mandates for six weeks at the point when deaths reach 8 per million people, comparing that to a scenario if no action is taken. The percentage of people wearing masks when leaving their home is also a key consideration.

“These factors are vital in our projections and highlight how many lives can be saved,” Murray said.

He noted that the number of deaths is certain to continue to rise in nations where mandates on mask wearing and social distancing are relaxed. In contrast, Murray stated transmission might be reduced by as much as 50% in communities where individuals are wearing masks when leaving their homes, either voluntarily or by mandate.

The forecasts by nation:

Southern, Tropical, and Andean Latin America

  • Argentina: 24,721 deaths (range of 9,386 to 61,163)
  • Chile: 25,344 deaths (range of 18,094 to 34,509)
  • Uruguay: 340 deaths (range of 52 to 2,075)
  • Bolivia: 7,334 deaths (range of 3,564 to 13,645)
  • Ecuador: 20,260 deaths (range of 16,069 to 27,103)
  • Peru: 36,210 deaths (range of 28,145 to 48,617)
  • Brazil: 166,362 deaths (range of 135,538 to 208,079)
  • Paraguay: 271 deaths (range of 27 to 1,952)

Central America and Mexico

  • Colombia: 35,314 deaths (range of 14,640 to 81,942)
  • Costa Rica: 39 deaths (range of 17 to 120)
  • El Salvador: 4,357 deaths (range of 668 to 15,546)
  • Guatemala: 10,090 deaths (range of 3,874 to 22,071)
  • Honduras: 4,958 deaths (range of 881 to 14,207)
  • Mexico: 88,160 deaths (range of 67,967 to 120,023)
  • Nicaragua: 280 deaths (range of 72 to 2,276)
  • Panama: 2,802 deaths (range of 1,315 to 5,895)
  • Venezuela: 2,893 deaths (range of 84 to 29,295)

The Caribbean

  • Antigua and Barbuda: 10 deaths (range of 2 to 74)
  • Bahamas: 26 deaths (range of 10 to 121)
  • Barbados: 46 deaths (range of 8 to 282)
  • Belize: 20 deaths (range of 3 to 143)
  • Cuba: 306 deaths (range of 180 to 663)
  • Dominican Republic: 5,665 deaths (range of 1,731 to 15,650)
  • Guyana: 14 deaths (range of 12 to 24)
  • Haiti: 1,377 deaths (range of 202 to 5,919)
  • Jamaica: 68 deaths (range of 17 to 364)
  • Suriname: 698 deaths (range of 28 to 2,541)
  • Trinidad and Tobago: 440 deaths (range of 13 to 6,868)
  • Puerto Rico: 286 deaths (range of 185 to 605)
  • United States Virgin Islands: 7 deaths (range of 6 to 11)

The new death projections and other information, such as hospital resources usage, are available at https://covid19.healthdata.org.

Contact: media@healthdata.org

A note of thanks

We wish to warmly acknowledge the support of these and others who have made our COVID-19 estimation efforts possible: ACAPS; American Hospital Association; Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford; Bloomberg Philanthropies; Boston Children’s/Health Map; California Health Care Foundation; Carnegie Mellon University; Christopher Adolph and colleagues at the Department of Political Science, University of Washington; Descartes Labs; Facebook Data for Good; Google Labs; John Stanton & Theresa Gillespie; Julie & Erik Nordstrom; Kaiser Family Foundation; Medtronic Foundation; Microsoft AI for Health; National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities (NIMHD) at the National Institutes of Health (NIH); National Science Foundation; Our World in Data; Premise; Qumulo; Real Time Medical Systems; Redapt; SafeGraph; The COVID Tracking Project; The Johns Hopkins University; The Kuwait Foundation for the Advancement of Sciences (KFAS); The New York Times; UNESCO; University of Maryland; University of Miami Institute for Advanced Study of the Americas (Felicia Knaul and Michael Touchton); Wellcome Trust; World Health Organization; and finally, the many Ministries of Health and Public Health Departments across the world, collaborators and partners for their tireless data collection efforts. Thank you.

About the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research organization at the University of Washington School of Medicine that provides rigorous and comparable measurement of the world’s most important health problems and evaluates the strategies used to address them. IHME is committed to transparency and makes this information widely available so that policymakers have the evidence they need to make informed decisions on allocating resources to improve population health.

Logo – https://jamaicainquirer.com/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/8310e294cc_IHME-Logo.jpg

146 comments

  1. Like!! I blog frequently and I really thank you for your content. The article has truly peaked my interest.

  2. I love looking through a post that can make people think. Also, many thanks for permitting me to comment!

  3. Hardcore Galleries with hot Hardcore photos
    http://sexysoftporn.miyuhot.com/?meaghan

    stretch her hole porn photos of porn actors michael stefano strawberry kiss porn tara wild porn tube lesbian porn for real lesbians forums

  4. Hello there! [url=http://onlinegenepharmacy.com/]canada pharmacy on line no prescription[/url] legal on line pharmacies

  5. viagra generic mexico buy viagra online using paypal australia [url=https://onlinepharmaciesale.com/#]viagra canada price[/url] viagra auf rechnung online cheapest price for viagra online

  6. [url=http://estracemed.com/]estrace best price[/url] [url=http://colchicinetab.com/]colchicine 0.3 mg[/url] [url=http://tadalafil2017.us.com/]cialis generic tadalafil[/url] [url=http://flomaxmed.com/]flomax for women[/url] [url=http://retina3.com/]retin-a 0.025[/url]

  7. [url=http://prednisone.us.org/]prednisone 475[/url]

  8. [url=https://priligy365.com/]priligy 30mg[/url] [url=https://tadallafil.com/]generic tadalafil 20mg[/url] [url=https://sildenafil4you.us.org/]sildenafil online[/url] [url=https://accutanme.com/]where to buy accutane[/url] [url=https://lxapro.com/]lexapro 10 mg generic[/url] [url=https://ivermectin.us.com/]ivermectin lice[/url] [url=https://chydroxychloroquine.com/]hydroxychloroquine buy[/url] [url=https://colchicinetab.com/]colchicine coupon[/url] [url=https://tadalafil2017.us.com/]buy tadalafil[/url] [url=https://albuterolmd.com/]buy albuterol without a prescription[/url]

  9. Kudos! I appreciate it! loan up direct deposit loans

  10. Howdy! [url=http://canadianonlinepharmacy.club/]united healthcare online pharmacy[/url] canadian online pharmacy reviews online pharmacy no perscription

  11. Wonderful information. Cheers. https://payday8online.com/ us cash advance

  12. Seriously lots of great material. https://paydayloansttf.com/ cash advance loans

  13. My new hot project|enjoy new website
    http://americangirl82.unisex.gigixo.com/?ellie

    cheerleader cartoon porn animated porn tubes farrah porn pics dyke teacher interview lesbian porn free lady boy porn hard core

  14. You expressed that perfectly. personal loan with bad credit simple interest loan

  15. You actually explained it perfectly! payday loans columbus ohio no interest loans

  16. Kudos, Plenty of write ups.
    loans with poor credit emergency loans bad credit

  17. Amazing loads of wonderful advice! https://payday8online.com/ need a loan bad credit

  18. You made the point! https://paydayloansbbv.com/ payday loans no brokers

  19. Excellent information. Appreciate it. https://paydayloansbbv.com/ personal loans with bad credit

  20. Incredible plenty of very good information. https://paydayloansbbv.com/ tribal loans

  21. Cheers, Lots of info.
    same day loans personal loan for bad credit

  22. Kudos! I value this! personal loans need cash today

  23. You are my heart: http://clickfrm.com/z3ph

  24. You made your point extremely effectively!. bad credit car loans signature loans

  25. Hot galleries, daily updated collections
    http://porn.videos.hotblognetwork.com/?desiree

    hi5tv porn amy porn girl spanish granny porn liana grigoryan porn casting for porn star

  26. With thanks, Great stuff. money lending loans for bad credit people

  27. Thanks! Useful stuff. bad credit payday loans online small loans online

  28. New sexy website is avaiable on the web
    http://travestifree.shemaledresses.alypics.com/?anita

    hairy black pussy tubes porn porn videos of best blow jobs life stream video porn couples porn gallerys hotel porn videos

  29. You said it adequately.! loans payday loan reviews

  30. Thank you, Excellent information. personal loans for bad credit quick loans for bad credit

  31. You revealed that superbly! https://payday8online.com/ need a loan

  32. Free Porn Galleries – Hot Sex Pictures
    http://hotnatalia.com/?kayleigh
    free porn pic coloneol porn free transmen porn free porn videos and channels gary steensgaardx porn

  33. Hot teen pics
    http://lovedating.bloglag.com/?marilyn

    kick the porn habit amateur porn female screaming orgasms asian porn sucks two cocks young porn sex videos pkrn for free video

  34. You reported it adequately. https://paydayloansbbv.com/ need a loan

  35. Appreciate it, A good amount of write ups.
    usda home loans payday lenders

  36. You actually stated this really well! https://payday8online.com/ quick online loans

  37. Many thanks! Quite a lot of content.
    https://paydayloansbbv.com/ payday loan lenders

  38. Incredible a lot of great data. installment loans cash advance loan

  39. Hi! legit online phamary discounts buy antibiotics online without a prescription

  40. Wonderful stuff, Appreciate it. https://paydayloansbbv.com/ payday advance direct lenders

  41. Appreciate it! Numerous info.
    https://paydayloansttf.com/ payday loan for bad credit

  42. Awesome posts. Thanks. personal loans loans with bad credit

  43. You’re my final hope guys :-/
    bestbet077.blogspot.com

  44. You revealed it perfectly. payday loans payday loans las vegas nevada

  45. You actually explained it perfectly! rapid advance get a loan with no credit

  46. Amazing a lot of good tips. hemp oil

  47. Good write ups. Thanks. payday loans near me personal loan

  48. Whoa plenty of beneficial tips! bad credit loans mobile loans

  49. Girls of Desire: All babes in one place, crazy, art
    http://newteenpornsex.fetlifeblog.com/?jeanette

    kids illegal porn porn shop in washington pa porn full vids free cute gay boys porn women shitting porn

  50. cialis lowest price buy cialis
    tadalafilprof.com – cialis online pharmacy

  51. Бесплатно и без регистрации Вы сможете посмотреть фильмы на сайте https://spintv.online/ — не нужно делать лишние движения, просто выбирайте фильм. На сайте представлен большой каталог интересных фильмов, снятых в разных уголках мира. Индийские, российские, американские — здесь найдется кино на любой вкус! Вы можете воспользоваться поисковой строкой, чтобы найти фильм по ключевому слову или пролистать каталог любимого жанра. Устраивайтесь дома как можно удобнее и наслаждайтесь просмотром сериала или кино уже сейчас!

  52. You suggested it wonderfully. usda home loans payday advance online

  53. Really a lot of superb info. buy viagra

  54. Best Nude Playmates & Centerfolds, Beautiful galleries daily updates
    http://adablog69.com/?viviana
    mom and daughter lesbian porn videos blowjob blonde porn nude scuba diving porn movie clips free naked gay teen porn pitite teen porn

  55. Thank you! Loads of info!
    https://paydayloansbbv.com/ borrow money with bad credit

  56. Sexy photo galleries, daily updated pics
    http://leeannrimesporn.cfporn.allproblog.com/?alexia

    porn movies in gettysburg pa real people porn dvds sin city porn dvd nz free porn sex porn internetz

  57. You actually suggested it well. on line loans short term cash loans

  58. Well spoken truly. ! https://payday8online.com/ 24 hour payday loans

  59. Thanks, Terrific information. usda home loans how to apply for a loan

  60. Hot galleries, daily updwted collections
    http://lesbian.milfs.hotblognetwork.com/?aliza

    x rated free porn orohime porn free cherri bomb porn free porn hard sex tube petite porn video

  61. Amazing advice. Thank you! personal loans for people with bad credit personal loan lenders

  62. Kudos, Good information! online loans instant approval payday loans az

  63. Требуется забанить сайт вашего конкурента? С нашей фирмой это легко выполнить.
    Применяем продвинутые технологии:
    – Надежно уничтожаем онлайн-ресурсы по любым ключевым запросам.
    – 300000-400000 спамных беклинков.
    – Непрекращающийся спам основного емейла фирмы письмами с рассылками
    – Понижение позиций сайта в поисковике по любым коммерческим ключам.
    – Применяются секретные технологии. Многолетний опыт работы.
    – Гарантируем возврат денег при условии неудачи.
    – Полный отчет.
    – Секретность ваших заказов. Никто не сможет узнать про вас и нашу деятельность.

    Цена $50
    Полная отчётность.
    Оплата: Qiwi, Яндекс.Деньги, Bitcoin, Visa, MasterCard…
    Телегрм: @exrumer
    Whatssap: +7 906 531-21-55
    Skype: XRumer.pro
    электронка: support@xrumer.cc

  64. Awesome facts. Cheers. small business loans how to apply for a loan

  65. Regards. Quite a lot of advice!
    https://paydayloansttf.com/ 100 payday loan

  66. What the hell! I did not think this would be so difficult :c
    sport-betting-bahsegel.blogspot.com/

  67. Nobody can come up with a good option to solve my problem :c
    bahsegel-tr.com

  68. Free Porn Galleries – Hot Sex Pictures
    http://60plusemlifporn.cabiriapornstar.alypics.com/?jalynn

    fathers pimping daughters porn free videos alladin porn jasmine angelique moran porn clips efuckt free porn porn between gays

  69. You actually mentioned that terrifically! bad credit loans guaranteed approval parent loan

  70. Incredible quite a lot of beneficial tips! what is a cash advance signature loans for bad credit

  71. You made your point pretty well!! secured loans bad credit 1000 loan bad credit

  72. программа кредит

  73. Very good data. Kudos! cash advance online credit check free

  74. Kudos! Excellent stuff. on line loans get cash

  75. Nicely put. With thanks. direct lender payday loan long term loan

  76. Fine postings. Appreciate it. https://paydayloansbbv.com/ payday advance near me

  77. Regards, Quite a lot of data!
    https://paydayloansttf.com/ us cash advance

  78. College Girls Porn Pics
    http://toonbondageporn.fetlifeblog.com/?patience

    ducky granny porn free porn web site reviews free gf porn sites porj toons comics porn tube lesbians mature teens

  79. Regards! Fantastic stuff. loans for bad credit las vegas payday loans

  80. You made your stand pretty effectively!! personal loans las vegas cash advance

  81. You actually revealed that well. moneylenders check my credit

  82. Thanks a lot! I value this. https://paydayloansbbv.com/ montel williams loans

  83. You mentioned this perfectly. payday loans locations interest free loan

  84. Free Porn Pictures and Best HD Sex Photos
    http://sweetblondeporn.hmongporn.alexysexy.com/?jaime

    define porn free vintage classic porn porn swingers interracial cream pies free porn porn video schoolgirl

  85. Всегда готовы предложить профессиональные услуги:
    “Ликвидация интернет-сайтов вашего конкурента!”
    Разве это возможно?!
    – У нас опыт – десять лет.
    – Уникальная разработка.
    – Наращивание большой ссылочной массы при помощи вирусных ссылок.
    – Поисковики быстро реагируют на наши применяющиеся технологии.
    – Размещенные тексты с интернет-ресурса спамятся, что делает их неуникальными.
    – У наших специалистов очень серьезные возможности и практический опыт в этом направлении.

    Стоимость 4000 рублей
    Полная отчётность.
    Оплата: Киви, Yandex.Money, Bitcoin, Visa, MasterCard…
    Телегрм: @exrumer
    Whatssap: +7(906)5312155
    Skype: XRumer.pro
    электронка: support@xrumer.cc

  86. Hot teen pics
    http://busty.tits.big.instasexyblog.com/?jada

    moneytalks hairdresszer porn free 18 abused porn video teens in bikini porn euro porn free galleries mama porn update

  87. Enjoy our scandal amateur galleries that looks incredibly dirty
    http://maxpornsexvideo.topanasex.com/?maddison

    porn site free patty cake porn star free amituar porn master of porn director spanis tranny with women porn

  88. My new hot project|enjoy new website
    http://howtobeashemale.kanakox.com/?nicole

    no panties porn porn stories historical milry cirus free porn vids girl physical examination porn video porn tube finds

  89. Переходя по ссылке https://fotokeramika.in.ua/ и изучая каталог, Вы сможете в полной мере ознакомиться с перечнем услуг компании «Мир фотокерамики». Она предлагает Вам соответствующие изделия разных размеров по доступной цене. На официальном сайте Вы можете полноценно ознакомиться не только с услугами, но и с портфолио. Благодаря этому у Вас будет четкое представление о том, что Вы можете получить после оформления заказа. Поэтому если встал вопрос, где брать фотокерамику в Украине, теперь у Вас есть ответ.

  90. Может быть вы думаете, что за вашими деяниями в web поглядывают лишние глаза, при этом непротив реализовать нестандартные манипуляции, например, приобретать запрещенные товары. Тогда безопаснее использовать особенное программное обеспечение. Браузер Тор давно известен опытным пользователям в качестве надежной анонимной сети, позволяющей не только просматривать darknet сайты, но и реализовывать покупки различных товаров. При этом пользователь останется вне поля зрения для тех, кто непосредственно мог бы следить за его действиями.

    т. к. onion зона не индексируется, был сделан сайт gadnotaba. Посетив который ты найдешь популярные сайты в onion зоне, а также их статус в сети. Ни для кого не секрет о том, что поисковики настраивают firewall для запрета к ресурсам, через которые есть шанс купить запрещенные в многих странах услуги.

    Ссылки Godnotaba – еще один обязательный атрибут анонимности. Каталог ссылок собрал в себе массу разнообразных линков, дополненных описаниями и отзывами пользователей и другой важной инфой, которая разрешает выявить надёжность и пользу ресурса. Прежде чем пройти по ссылке на Годнотаба, проверьте, что она соответствует искомой информации и имеет статус онлайн. Это позволит заметно сэкономить время.

    Ссылки на Годнотаба собираются для ознакомительных целей, при этом регулярно проверяются из-за автоматической системы, внедренной в сервис. Мы часто наблюдаем за созданием новых проектов и оперативно листим их в список.

  91. My new hot project|enjoy new website
    http://brandedclothes.allproblog.com/?nina

    cross dress men porn german lesbian threesome porn tube porn star gimi moore samples video porn good porn samples

  92. Scandal porn galleries, daily updated lists
    http://free.lesbian.allproblog.com/?regina

    eskimo porn free vidio teenage porn online hairy you porn free virgin bloody porn american beauty porn

  93. Знаете ли вы?
    Жену Генриха VIII на суде защищал посол Священной Римской империи.
    После 50 черепно-мозговых травм регбист завершил карьеру, опасаясь получить синдром деменции.
    Старейшую в России организацию реставраторов велено было выселить и уплотнить.
    Мама и четверо детей снимают фильмы о своей жизни во время войны.
    Картина парада Победы, где руководство страны смещено на задний план, получила Сталинскую премию.

    arbeca

  94. New sexy website is available on the web
    http://porncollcetion.miaxxx.com/?parker

    sara jay nude xxx porn femdom anelique morgan iphone porn lapdance porn videos brent everett free porn videos sexy tranny porn

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.