National Drought Management Committee activated and to meet within the next 10 days, as Jamaica braces for drier and warmer conditions

The National Drought Management Committee has been activated and is slated to meet within the next ten days, as the country braces for drier and warmer conditions.

The Meteorological Service says it’s actively monitoring emerging climate patterns indicating the expected development of an El Niño phenomenon, which could influence rainfall and temperature conditions across the island in the coming months.

While Jamaica experienced above-average rainfall across much of the traditional dry season between January and April, recent observations have shown a shift toward warmer and drier conditions in several areas of the country.

Current climate indicators suggest the likely emergence of a major El Niño event during the year.

In a statement issued today, the Ministry of Water, Environment and Climate Change notes that historically, El Niño events have been associated with reduced rainfall across parts of the Caribbean region and increased temperatures, creating conditions that can elevate the risk of drought and heat-related impacts.

Should current projections materialise, Jamaica could experience reduced rainfall activity during the summer period and in the lead-up to the primary rainfall season peaking in October.

Such conditions may present challenges for water resources, agriculture and broader environmental systems, including increased heat stress affecting crops and livestock.

The Meteorological Service continues to assess these developments through ongoing climate analysis, forecasting models and collaboration with regional and international partners to ensure the country remains informed and prepared.

Principal Director of the Meteorological Service of Jamaica, Evan Thompson said the agency is closely tracking the evolving conditions and will continue to provide timely guidance to stakeholders and the public.